Yesterday marked the beginning of summer with the Summer Solstice (our Meteorological Summer technically began the beginning of this month). So far this month we have seen a good mix of above and below average High temperatures for each day, with this past week seeing the longest string of above average temperatures we have seen this month.
The CPC put out there new report for the rest of summer last week and it looks like the trend will continue with above average temperatures for the rest of summer for the region.
There is also an above average chance over the Southwest U.S., which correlates with the extreme High temperatures that region has been seeing over the past week with Highs well into the low 100’s! This is really going to hurt the Southwest yet again as they are still in drought conditions even after all the rainfall they saw due to the El Nino last year.
We can see above the latest reports for drought conditions and precipitation chances over the next three months. For our region we have an equal chance of seeing either above or below average precipitation, but we are not in any drought danger and actually the Northeast part of MA and the Southeast part of NH are likely to see some drought mitigation. The Southwest U.S. is going to see more trouble as the drought is likely to persist through the region. This combined with the chance for above average temperatures could likely lead to dangerous living conditions for people in the Southwest and an increased risk for wildfires. This is only an outlook so time will tell whether or not this will come to fruition this summer.
The other news is that there are already signs that a transition to a La Nina could occur over the next few months, which will have to be monitored to see what effects this could have on the atmosphere in time for the Northern Hemisphere Autumnal and Winter seasons.